Forecasting Total Flights in Thailand Using FBprophet and Neural-Prophet in the Post-COVID 19 Period
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Abstract
Tourism industry and Aviation and Logistics industries are the lucrative industry that bring in millions of baht for the Thailand. However, since the start of the COVID 19 pandemic in late 2019, many countries took intensive control the outbreak and one of them was strictly Lock Down. Then, Thailand began suspending all passenger flights in March 2020. Later in the year 2021, many countries began to return to a new way of life or New Normal. The Tourism industry, as well as the Aviation and Logistics industries, started to recover. This study aims to forecast the number of flights both arriving and departing from Thailand after the pandemic of COVID 19 to predict economic growth using FBprophet and Neural-Prophet. The outcomes of the forecast indicate that the growth of the aviation industry is anticipated to be very faster than it happened before the COVID 19 pandemic. Consequently, organizations in both the public and private sectors should devise the strategic plan to mitigate the impact. Moreover, it can be found that FBprophet and Neural-Prophet can predict similar trend of the increasing growth of the aviation industry. Additionally, FBprophet presents the predicted results more accuracy and reasonable regarding the seasonal effects.
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เนื่อหาและข้อมูลในบทความ เป็นความรับผิดชอบของผุ้แต่ง
บทความในวารสารเป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของวารสารวิจัยและพัฒนา มหาวิทยาลัยราชภัฏบุรีรัมย์
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