Aging, Pension System, and Economic Growth in Poland and Thailand
Keywords:
Aging, Pension system, Retirement saving, Economic growthAbstract
This research aimed to analyze the situation of aging, the pension system, and economic growth. There were two objectives using qualitative and quantitative methodology. The first objective aimed to analyze the situation of aging and the pension system in Poland and Thailand by using comparative analysis. The study found that Poland's pension system ensures that the majority of the population receives retirement benefits by offering rather comprehensive coverage. However, in Thailand, only those who work in the formal sector are covered by Thailand's social security system. It implies that a significant proportion of the population, particularly those in the informal sector and those living in rural areas, does not have enough pension coverage. This makes it challenging to ensure financial stability as one ages. The second objective was to examine the relationship between retirement savings and economic growth in Thailand by using OLS regression. This research used time series data and applied quarterly data from Q1 2007 to Q4 2020. The regression results revealed that five variables had a statistically significant effect on economic growth in Thailand, which were Social Security Fund Article 33 (SSF33), Private Investment (I), Retirement Mutual Fund (RMF), Government Spending (G), and Government Pension Fund (GPF). The results confirm that retirement savings are important to the economy’s growth. This research also highlights the important role of pension systems in addressing the challenges of aging populations. A well-planned pension system provides financial security for retirees and supports economic growth. By comparing Poland and Thailand, this study provides valuable understanding for creating sustainable pension systems that can adapt to population changes and strengthen the economy.
References
Ahmed, S., Abdelhak, B., & Amal, R. (2020). Measuring the impact of domestic saving on economic growth in Algeria using ARDL model. Les Cahiers du Cread, 36(4), 77–109.
Association of Investment Management Companies (AIMC). (2022). Thailand is becoming an aging society with old population increasing faster than other countries in Asia. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from http://oldweb.aimc.or.th/en/42aimc_knowledge_detail.php?nid=32
European Commission. (2013). Your social security rights in Poland. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://employment-social-affairs.ec.europa.eu/policies-and-activities/moving-working-europe/eu-social-security-coordination/your-social-security-rights/poland_en
Government Pension Fund (GPF). (2022). ESG Attribution Report 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.gpf.or.th/thai2019/7News/main.php?group=3&id=1702&lang=th&menu=news&page=8&subject=%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B7%E0%B9%88%E%B8%AD%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%9C%E0%B9%82%E0%B8%A2%E0%B9%88
Holzmann, R., Hinz, P. R., & Dorfman, M. (2008). Pension systems and reform conceptual framework. Washington, DC: World Bank.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). 2018. Aging demographic data sheet 2018. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
International Labor Organization (ILO). (2022). Thailand social protection diagnostic review: Review of the pension. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.ilo.org/asia/publications/WCMS_836733/lang--en/index.htm
Jappelli, T., & Modigliani, F. (1998). The age-saving profile and the life-cycle hypothesis. Napoli, Italy: Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance.
Le, N. T., & Nguyen, T. H. (2019). The Harrod – Domar Growth Model and its implications for economic development in Vietnam. International Journal of Humanities Social Sciences and Education, 6(4), 11–17. https://dx.doi.org/10.20431/2349-0381.0604003
Mankiw, N. G. (2013). Macroeconomics. New York, NY: Worth Publishers.
Mercer. (2021). Mercer CFA institute global pension index. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from www.mercer.com/globalpensionindex
Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). (2022). Thai Economic Performance in Q2 of 2022 and the Outlook for 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.nesdc.go.th/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/2565_q2_001_report.pdf
Phijaisanit, E. (2011). Thai social security pension fund: An analysis of sustainability and inter-generational fairness. Applied Economics Journal, 8(2), 32–44.
Population Pyramid. (2019a). Poland’s population pyramid in 2019. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.populationpyramid.net/poland/2019/
Population Pyramid. (2019b). Thailand’s population pyramid in 2019. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.populationpyramid.net/thailand/2019/
Provident Fund (PVD). (2022). Operational and Governance Report of the Provident Fund. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.thaipvd.com/uploads/document/2bc37f98-08c4-4066-9e8b-ac55912353b8?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Rzeczpospolita Polska. (2017). Aging working group. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/3159177d-b63e-4497-9821-322489beecf4_en?filename=pl_-_ar_2021_final_pension_fiche.pdf&prefLang=pt
Social Security Office (SSO). (2022). Annual report. Retrieve from https://www.sso.go.th/wpr/assets/upload/files_storage/sso_th/a0c7e1e57859fe7bb0d7b46f38172b7b.pdf
The Social Insurance Institution (ZUS). (2019). Social security in Poland. Warsaw, Poland: Social Insurance Institution.
United Nations. (2017). World population aging 2017: Highlights. New York, NY: Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division.
United Nations. (2019). World population aging 2019: Highlights. New York, NY: Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division.
United Nations. (2022). World population aging 2022: Highlights. New York, NY: Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division.
World Bank. (2012). Poland: Aging and the economy. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www.worldbank.org
/en/news/opinion/2012/06/14/poland-aging-and-the-economy
World Bank. (2022). World development indicators. Retrieved March 18, 2024, from https://data.worldbank.org/
World Economic Forum. (2013). Developing future social protection systems retirement income: Sustainability, risks and challenges of current retirement income schemes. Retrieved March 15, 2024, from https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_FS_RetirementIncome_Report_2013.pdf
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal of Multidisciplinary in Social Sciences

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.




