DELPHI TECHNIQUE IN AVIATION RESEARCH
Keywords:
Delphi technique, ; Future research, Aviation business, Aviation researchAbstract
Future research under turbulent and un-expectation situations is a high challenge for researchers. Single theory or simple simulation techniques, typically, cannot give a correct and appropriate result. Delphi Research Technique can help to solve these problems if undertaken with care, selecting direct involving experts, and un-bias conclusions. This type of research deploys rough statistical calculations, which are unsophisticated, it doesn't take much time and the cost is low. This academic article aims to present 1) principles and methods for implementing the Delphi technique, 2) examples of aviation business research that can be used further. Results of the study found that there are two categories of research that use the Delphi technique: classic and modified. This method of study is appropriate for applying research findings to decision-making or operational planning. It is recommended to use a team of at least 17 specialists to lower the error rate. Body of knowledge from this article can be utilized to find information from opinion surveys for use in particular tasks. Both for upcoming studies and other academic projects. This is because the research conducted with the Delphi technique results in a well-structured and opinion filtering procedure. Because data were from both experts in groups that have good relationships with each other and those that have conflicts.
References
Boonorn, K. (1979). The Delphi Technique. Kuruparitus, 26-28.
Brady, S. R. (2015). Utilizing and adapting the Delphi Method for use in qualitative research. International Journal of Qualitative Methods, 14(5), 1-6.
Dalkey, N. C. (1971). An elementary cross-impact model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 3, 1971–1972, 341-351.
Dalkey, N. C., Brown, B. B., & Cochran, S. (1969). The Delphi method: An experimental study of group opinion (Vol. 3). Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation.
Dalkey, N.; Helmer, O. (1963). An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the use of experts. Management Science. 9 (3): 458–467.
Dimitrijević, B., Simić, V., Radonjić, A., & Kostić-Ljubisavljević. (2012). The Delphi method as a research tool: an application in transportation and logistics systems evaluations .6th International Quality Conference 2012 Center for Quality.
Ducanis, A. J. (1970). The Possible Use of Delphi Technique in I.R. and Planning in. Higher Education. Instructional Research and Communication in Higher. 54.
Ellis. D. J. (2017). Global geographic reach: A Delphi study into the future of the airline industry. A Doctorate degree thesis, UNE Business School, University of New England
Ellis. D. J. (2022). Insights from a mixed-methods Delphi study into the global airline industry. International Journal of Aviation. 5(1), 74-92.
Klugea, U. Ringbeck, S. & Spinler, S. (2020). Door-to-door travel in 2035 – A Delphi study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 157, 120096.
Linz, M. (2012). Scenarios for the aviation industry: A Delphi-based analysis for 2025. Journal of Air Transport Management, 22, 28-35.
Linstone, H. A. & Turoff, M. (1975). Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.
Morley, J. E. & Gerard L. K. (1976). The prediction of air travel and aircraft technology to the year 2000 using the Delphi method. Transportation Research 10(1), 1-8.
Prasatkeaw et al., (2020). Model Development of Middle Manager Potential for Competitiveness in Aviation Business Industry. The Journal of KMUTNB, 30(4), 717-725.
Rasp, A., Jr. (1973). A new tool for administrators: Delphi and decision making. The North Central Association Quarterly, 320–325.
Rukpolpmuang, C. (1992). Delphi Technique in a Research: An educational policy analysis. Bangkok: Chulalongkorn.
S.A. Delbari et al. (2016). An investigation of key competitiveness indicators and drivers of full-service airlines using Delphi and AHP techniques. Journal of Air Transport Management. 52, 23-34
Sekayi, D., & Kennedy, A. (2017). Qualitative Delphi Method: A Four Round Process with a Worked Example. The Qualitative Report, 22(10), 2755-2763.
Skulmoski et al. (2007). The Delphi Method for Graduate Research. Journal of Information Technology Education, 6(1).
Sriprasart, P. (1980). Delphi Technique. Journal of International Education. 14(2), 50-59.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Journal of MCU Buddhapanya Review
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
